DOWNLOADS & DATA

Every artifact, and the data behind every figure

The working papers, the tender-analysis deck, the press release — and all 24 chart data payloads published as JSON, so every figure on this site can be reproduced from the file that drew it.

PAPERS

Paper 1 — Plant-Level Evidence (PDF)

From Coal-Equivalent Plants to a Coal-Equivalent Fleet: Plant-Level Evidence for Firm Solar in India. Citable working paper.

3.9 MB PDF

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Paper 2 — Continental-Scale Fleet (PDF)

From Coal-Equivalent Plants to a Coal-Equivalent Fleet: Geographic Diversification at Continental Scale. Citable working paper.

6.3 MB PDF

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Paper 2 Supplementary (PDF)

Supplementary material for Paper 2: extended tables, site list, and additional weather-year results.

101 KB PDF

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DECKS

RTC-V Analysis Deck (PDF)

Full slide deck on SECI's FDRE-RTC-V auction: the delivery profile, least-cost plant design, reliability and penalty exposure, and the coal-fleet comparison.

1.4 MB PDF

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RTC-V Analysis Deck (PPTX)

Editable PowerPoint version of the RTC-V analysis deck, for reuse of individual slides and charts.

1.2 MB PPTX

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RTC-V Chart Pack (ZIP, 21 figures)

Every RTC-V figure as a print-resolution PNG, for reuse in reporting and presentations.

2.1 MB ZIP

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PRESS

Press release — August 11, 2026

Solar plus batteries matched a thermal power plant in SECI's FDRE-RTC-V auction.

web page

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DATA

One JSON file per chart, shape {meta, data}, licensed CC BY 4.0. The basis field states whether a payload carries the 3% equipment derate.

PAYLOADSTUDYUNITSBASISSIZE
Required supply profile, FDRE-RTC-V (per 15-min block, modelled hourly)RTC-V —RTC-V% of contracted capacity (min DFR)—1 KB
The required profile against India's national net loadRTC-V —RTC-V% of own peak (net load) / % of contracted capacity (profile)—2 KB
All-in cost vs solar size, one line per battery (Rajasthan)RTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWh all-in (penalties included), per 1 GW contractedderated-3pct5 KB
Tariff heatmap, solar x battery (Rajasthan)RTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWh all-in, per 1 GW contractedderated-3pct6 KB
Each state's cost-optimal (lean) and zero-penalty designRTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWh all-in; config as 'solar GW-AC + usable GWh' per GW contractedderated-3pct3 KB
Rajasthan monthly shortfall, 3 GW + 12 GWhRTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VGWh per month per 1 GW contracted (physical, before market energy)derated-3pct1 KB
Dispatch traces: a clear March day and the decade's hardest weekRTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VGW per 1 GW contracted · GWhderated-3pct5 KB
All 8,760 hours of a typical weather year (2021)RTC-V derated-3pctRTC-Vdelivered, % of the 1 GW contracted capacityderated-3pct28 KB
All-in cost build-up, Rajasthan 3 GW + 12 GWhRTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWhderated-3pct1 KB
Six Rajasthan designs, all-in cost stackedRTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWh all-in, per 1 GW contractedderated-3pct2 KB
All-in cost vs battery price ($/kWh nameplate)RTC-V derated-3pctRTC-VINR/kWh all-in; battery price in USD/kWh at INR 95/USDderated-3pct2 KB
India's operating coal stations scored against the same profileRTC-V —RTC-Vpenalty as % of revenue; share as % of the 213 stations—14 KB
Annual availability (NAPAF), 10 states x 10 weather yearsPART 1 derated-3pctPART 1% of hours at or above the 1 GW targetderated-3pct2 KB
Monthly availability vs all-India demand shapePART 1 derated-3pctPART 1% (availability = % of hours >= 1 GW; demand = mean hour as % of peak hour)derated-3pct1 KB
Daily availability: three coal units vs three solar+storage sitesPART 1 rawPART 1% of the day available (coal: MW available / rated; solar: hours >= 1 GW / 24)raw14 KB
Plant-gate to all-in LCOE bridge (5 GW-AC + 16 GWh usable)PART 1 —PART 1INR/kWh—2 KB
Hour-of-day availability by month, Rajasthan (10 weather years)PART 1 rawPART 1% of days in the month meeting the 1 GW target at that hourraw6 KB
Worst-day dispatch, Rajasthan 2015 (5 GW-AC / 7.0 GW-DC + 16 GWh)PART 1 rawPART 1GW · GWhraw4 KB
Coal unit vs solar+storage site vs 100 GW fleetPART 1 rawPART 1% of day available · % of day at or above 1 GW · GW delivered by the 120-plant fleetraw12 KB
120 solar+storage plant locations across IndiaPART 2 —PART 2decimal degrees (WGS84); cf = average DC capacity factor—11 KB
India national boundary outline (simplified)PART 2 —PART 2decimal degrees (WGS84)—37 KB
Output variability: single plant, greedy fleet, optimized fleet (2015)PART 2 rawPART 2GW per plant (fleet series = fleet GW / 120, capped at the 0.8333 GW per-plant share of the 100 GW target)raw8 KB
Reliability across 10 weather years (2015-2024)PART 2 rawPART 2Rel% = % of the 8,760 hours meeting the 100 GW target; CV% = coefficient of variation of fleet outputraw2 KB
When do shortfalls occur? (optimized flat-block dispatch, 10 weather years)PART 2 rawPART 2count of hours with any unmet demand; severity in GWhraw3 KB

UC BERKELEY ANALYSIS · AUGUST 2026 · 160 KB TOTAL